Moderator’s note at 6.31pm on 27/7/2012 : I had intimated that I would wait 48 hours for RPK to respond with his clarification to the concerns I have raised in this post.
He has purported to do so vide his posting today entitled ‘The principle behind the stand : the lesser of the
In my view, he has not addressed those concerns.
I will continue to wait out the 48 hours.
But for a promise I made to all of you in January, this year, I would not bother to write up this post.
In my “Oh Lord, how soon we forget!’ post, this is what I said :
“Many of you appear to be of the view that RPK has betrayed us, and has sold out.
I think you premise this on his interview with TV3 last March and his latest interview with NST and Utusan.
I do not share this view.
Mine is premised on the man and Marina that I believe I have come to know.
We cannot both be right.
Let us all hope and pray that the error is yours and not mine.
You have my word, though, that should I discover the error to be mine, I will not hesitate to disclose all that I know to you”.
In the last 6 months, I have had occasion to write, disagreeing with positions taken by RPK.
Earlier this month, in my ‘With you on this, bro’, I wrote to fully endorse a point taken by RPK.
His posting last Saturday, ‘Hard at hearing’, left me troubled.
This is what he wrote :
“Well, I too believe in the lesser of the two evils. And the lesser of the two evils would be to vote for Pakatan Rakyat rather than Barisan Nasional. But what if Pakatan Rakyat cannot oust Barisan Nasional? What if Barisan Nasional still retains the federal government with Umno as the dominant partner in the ruling coalition? Which then would be the lesser of the two evils?
Yes, most of you confine your choice of the lesser of the two evils as between Pakatan Rakyat and Barisan Nasional. That would be the simple-minded way of looking at things. But I think beyond that. I look at what if Barisan Nasional still retains the federal government. What then will be the lesser of the two evils?
We cannot just have Plan A. We also need Plan B. If Plan A fails then we must have a Plan B as an alternative. Most Pakatan Rakyat people just focus on Plan A without thinking whether there should be a Plan B in case Plan A fails.
And that’s what makes me a better political strategist than most of you. And I can’t help boasting about this because if you are good you are good, what more can I say? You all just have one plan, Plan A. I have Plan B, and plan B is who do you want as the Prime Minister, Najib or someone who upholds Malay Supremacy and the ‘ideals’ of May 13?
Of course, if Pakatan Rakyat takes over, then what I am saying becomes purely academic. But it will be extremely irresponsible and disastrous if we do not have a backup plan and then our Plan A fails”.
Summarised, I think this is what RPK is saying.
Plan A is to get rid of UMNO/BN at the next GE.
Whilst he talks of replacing UMNO/BN with Pakatan Rakyat, in my ‘Strategising ABU’ post, I proffered my view that PR by iteself could not topple UMNO/BN and that it would require a coalition of all the opposition parties from Malaya, Sabah and Sarawak working with the rakyat to see this happen.
Notwithstanding this slight difference, clearly RPK’s Plan A is not at odds with our ABU drive.
Get rid of UMNO / BN.
That’s precisely what we are pushing through the ABU initiative.
It is RPK’s Plan B and its seeming rationale that troubles me.
It implicitly requires, firstly, that we accept and live with an UMNO / BN victory post the 13th GE, if it should come to pass.
This, in itself, is a step down from the uncompromising stand that we urge through our ABU initiative.
Plan B postulates that we work to ensure that should we be faced with the prospect of a post 13th GE UMNO / BN government , the same be steered by a liberal Najib, rather than a radical, ‘Malay supremacy, May 13-minded’ UMNO leader.
The seeming rationale for Plan B is a concern, on the part of RPK, that the recent attempts by Dr M and his corner to resurrect the ghost of May 13 presents a real prospect of this happening, rather than being a mere attempt to create the spectre, and attendant fear by the middle class, of inter-racial violence gripping this nation post the 13th GE, should UMNO / BN be deposed.
Yet, I recall RPK writing in one or several of his earlier posts that a repeat of anything coming close to the May 13, 1969 riots would not be inter- racial, but one between the Malays, and should that happen, the other races should stay at home and leave it to the Malays to sort it out.
In short, his earlier stand was that we should not be taken in by this attempt to instil fear of racial unrest.
So why the change now from that earlier stance to one of seeming capitulation to this evil plan by DR M and his cohorts to scare many voters to vote for stability, meaning a continuation of UMNO / BN, rather than change, so as to avert any prospect of racial clashes?
When and how would Plan B be executed? Would it require working with the Najib faction even before the polls? After the results are known? Would not Najib still be at the mercy of Dr M and the UMNO warlords, the radical, ‘Malay supremacy, May 13-minded’ faction, should an UMNO / BN victory post the 13th GE be as poor as Pak Lah’s was in 2008?
As I pondered these questions, RPK published his ‘Its not about your stand but which direction you are moving’ post.
Let me make my stand and my direction clear.
Unless the electoral playing field is leveled by, at the very least, implementing in full the first 5 of the BERSIH demands, I am not prepared to accept and live with an UMNO /BN victory post the 13th GE.
Would not a contrary stand make a mockery of BERSIH 1, BERSIH 2.0 and BERSIH 3.0?
In fact, I’m not prepared to go to the polls unless we first have those first 5 BERSIH demands fully implemented.
No, I am not advocating a boycott of the elections.
That would be tantamount to surrendering Putrajaya to UMNO / BN on a silver platter!
In November, last year, I joined several others to issue an ultimatum to Najib.
This was no idle threat.
Do we have the numbers to see this through?
Let Najib dissolve parliament without first implementing those reforms, and then we’ll see.
But even if we cannot muster up the numbers after parliament is dissolved, expect an uprising after the polls if UMNO / BN are declared the victors in what must plainly be a fraudulent election without those reforms demanded being first implemented .
Will we have the numbers?
Wait and see.
My stand, and that of the ABU initiative, is, therefore, this.
We want to see a regime change in Putrajaya post the 13th GE and we will only accept an UMNO / BN victory if the elections are truly free and truly fair.
Short of free and fair elections, we will not endure an UMNO-led government post the 13th GE, whether of the ‘liberal Najib’ or ‘radical Mahathir’ flavour.
The direction ABU will take?
I have already shared with you some details in in my ‘Strategising ABU’ and the ‘Getting down to the real business of ABUing Malaya, Sabah and Sarawak’ posts.
We are now in phase 2.
A media war is underway to outreach to the Malay heartlands, to the police and the armed forces.
And to deliver a chilling warning to the new Mykad holders.
I will not say more at this juncture.
What then, is Plan B?
Why his shift from his earlier stance of ‘non-Malays stay home, let the Malays sort it out’ to his present ‘better a liberal Najib than a ‘radical Malay supremacy, May 13-minded’ UMNO leader ?
Does Plan B kick in before or after the polls results?
Does Plan B mean we accept the polls results with UMNO / BN emerging victorious, even if this is the dirtiest ever elections?
How is Plan B to be executed?
I dont know about the rest of you, but I must confess that Plan B leaves me very troubled with the stand and the direction of RPK.
Only RPK can lay those concerns to rest.
Will the master strategist share his master strategy relating to Plan B, or so much of it as he can, with us?
I will wait 48 hours to hear from him.